feature: European Film Awards 2006 predictions PDF Print E-mail
Written by Boyd van Hoeij   
Friday, 01 December 2006
Das Leben der Anderen // EFA nominee
German actor and EFA nominee Ulrich Mühe in Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck's 'Das Leben der Anderen' (The Lives of Others). Photo (c): Buena Vista Germany, 2006.
 
With more ink and screen particles wasted every year on Oscar predictions, it is about time someone sat down to do the same for the European Film Awards (EFAs), which will be awarded tomorrow [Saturday] in Warsaw, Poland. Boyd van Hoeij, the editor of european-films.net, has taken this unholy task upon him, psychoanalysing the Academy to the core, telling you who they are and -- more importantly -- how they will vote. As an added bonus, he also tells you who, in a fairer world (and his not so humble opinion) should really win.

This year in their 19th edition, the EFAs are awarded by the membership of the European Film Academy, which counts around 1700 industry professionals. Unlike the Oscars with their long history (the first were handed out in 1929), the EFAs have been around only since 1988 (when the Academy was still called the “European Cinema Society”), so it is hard to judge from past choices what the Academy really likes and dislikes, because as an award, the EFA is still in its infancy -- or its petulant adolescence at best.

There are some indications of what the Academy likes, however, and the taste of the Academy as a whole has been surprisingly consistent of the last 18 years, with exactly half (or nine) times the Best Film EFA given to the work of a director who again would be a winner in the future or was already a winner in the past. Italian director Gianni Amelio is the only filmmaker to have ever directed three EFA Best Film winners: Lamerica in 1994, Il ladro dei bambini (The Stolen Children) in 1992 and Porte aperte (Open Doors) at the 3rd EFA ceremony in Glasgow in 1990.

The following enfants terribles have each directed two EFA Best Film winners: Pedro Almodóvar (Todo sobre mi madre/All About My Mother in 1999 and Hable con ella/Talk to Her in 2002); Ken Loach (Riff-Raff in 1990 and Land and Freedom in 1995) and Lars von Trier (Breaking the Waves in 1996 and Dancer in the Dark in 2000). This select group of filmmakers would indicate that the Academy favours a certain realism and good storytelling as well as critical hits that have also been audience favourites.

This idea is reinforced when one looks at the remaining Best Film winners, the one hit wonders: Kieslowski’s Krótki film o zabijaniu (A Short Film About Killing) at the first EFAs in 1988; Theo Angelopoulos’s Topio stin omichli (Landscape in the Mist) the following year; Nikita Mikhalkov’s Urga (Close to Eden/Territory of Love) from 1993; Peter Cattaneo’s The Full Monty from 1997; Roberto Benigni’s La vita è bella (Life is Beautiful) from 1998; Jean-Pierre Jeunet’s Le fabuleux destin d’Amélie Poulain (Amelie) from 2001; 2003’s Good Bye Lenin! from Wolfgang Becker; 2004’s Gegen die Wand (Head-on) from Fatih Akin and last year’s Michael Haneke-directed Caché (Hidden).

EFA Best Film 2006
This year’s nominees include two previous double-winners: Pedro Almodóvar, with Volver, and Ken Loach, with The Wind That Shakes the Barley. Rounding up the category are two esteemed Anglophone directors (Neil Jordan with Breakfast on Pluto and Michael Winterbottom -- with co-director Mat Whitecross -- with The Road to Guantanamo) and two newcomers: Jasmila Zbanic with Grbavica (Esma’s Secret) and Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck with Das Leben der Anderen (The Lives of Others).

The Anglophones can be “tossed out” first as they would say, since their films have received neither all-round critical applause, enormous box-office success or politically insensitive subjects. Zbanic’s film won the Berlinale but was what industry people euphemistically call a “surprise winner”, which means they found it an odd choice in an excellent field. The “surprise winner” handicap also applies to The Wind That Shakes the Barley, which unexpectedly won in Cannes. Loach has already won twice before however, which unlike the Oscars, might work in his favour rather than against him.

The real battle seems to between Volver (also known as "the surprise loser" at Cannes) and Das Leben der Anderen, which has been a surprise hit everywhere it was shown and raided the national German film prizes, the Lolas, earlier this year. It did not play at any major European festival (which Variety noted in its review of the film as particularly odd) but has won numerous prizes (including three Audience Awards) at smaller festivals. The two films also both have the most EFA nominations in total: six each.

Finally, what will spur on Volver and deter Das Leben der Anderen is the fact that Volver’s director already has two statues to his name while Henckel von Donnersmarck has none (this is first film after all). And then there is this little prize called Oscar. The EFA members would of course like to be considered as giving away influential awards, and giving its highest award to a possible Best Director and Best Screenplay Oscar nominee will give Volver the edge. Both films are representing their country in the Best Foreign Language category as well, but this is considered a minor Oscar next to the categories populated by Hollywood’s titles such as Best Director.

  • Will win: Volver
  • Should win: The Wind That Shakes the Barley or Das Leben der Anderen

 
EFA Best Director 2006
This is an interesting category at the EFAs; it did not exist between 1991 and 2000, which makes tracking for this award extremely spotty. Looking at the nominees, one would expect the category to more or less mirror the Best Film category, but like each year, some films have “directed themselves”, as they say of the Best Picture Oscar nominees who do not score a Best Director nomination.

The new names in this category are esteemed Danish director Susanne Bier, for her harrowing family secrets drama Efter brylluppet (After the Wedding) and Italian director Emmanuele Crialese for Nuovomondo (Golden Door), which won the “revelation” prize at Venice, despite this being his third film. Almodóvar, Henckel von Donnersmarck, Loach and the duo Winterbottom-Whitecross did direct their Best Film nominees. Zbanic and Jordan were apparently on a holiday.

Conventional wisdom has it that the Best Film winner would have to be directed by the Best Director winner, but conventional wisdom also indicates that award voters like to spread the love in a year full of extremely worthy contenders, so the award will probably go to Henckel von Donnersmarck.

  • Will win: Henckel von Donnersmarck
  • Should win: Henckel von Donnersmarck 

 
EFA Best Actress 2006
Because of eligibility rules, the current Best Actress Oscar frontrunner Helen Mirren in The Queen, is not nominated this year (she can be nominated next year). Which leaves us with the other only Oscar contender as the leader of the EFA Best Actress category: Penélope Cruz in Volver. She is the surest winner of probably all EFA categories. She has been nominated four times before but has never won, and the Academy members (amongst whom are a lot of actors) love to give some extra heat to a possible European Oscar contender in the acting categories. So this category is Cruz’s.

For completeness’ sake, the other nominees are: Nathalie Baye in Le petit lieutenant (The Young Lieutenant), which was not seen widely enough; Martina Gedeck in Das Leben der Anderen (The Lives Of Others) who rode on the wave of support for that film; Sandra Hüller in the exorcism-drama Requiem, who should win because her performance is simply stunning; Mirjana Karanovic in Grbavica (Esma's Secret), a great actress in an underdeveloped role; and Canadian actress Sarah Polley, flying the flag for the commonwealth and Isabel Coixet’s The Secret Life of Words.

  • Will win: Penélope Cruz
  • Should win: Sandra Hüller 

 
EFA Best Actor 2006
This is the category where the heat is on this year, with no clear frontrunner and lots of good performances, except for Chesnais in Je ne suis pas là pour être aimé (Not Here To Be Loved): his performance is strangely uneven, so his nomination in this category makes little sense (neither he nor the film is well-known enough to pose any threat to the others should he find some unexpected supporters). Jesper Christensen in Drabet (Manslaughter) was not seen enough around the continent and during festivals and Silvio Orlando’s role in Moretti’s political satire Il caimano (The Caiman) might rub the wrong way with some voters.

The winner will likely emerge from the actors whose surname starts with M: as in Mikkelsen, Mühe or Murphy. Mads Mikkelsen (nominated for Bier's Efter Brylluppet/After the Wedding) is a great character actor from Denmark who benefits from the international exposure of 007’s Casino Royale to remind voters of how great he can be on the big screen; Ulrich Mühe is the real heart and reason why Das Leben der Anderen is poignant and not just observant, so a win for him would be derserved; and Cillian Murphy has two Best Film EFA nominations going for him, so voters are more likely to have seen a film with him, and he is great in both.  

  • Will win: Cillian Murphy
  • Should win: Ulrich Mühe

 
EFA Best screenwriter 2006
Nominees: Pedro Almodóvar for Volver; Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck for Das Leben der Anderen (The Lives Of Others); Paul Laverty for The Wind That Shakes the Barley; and
Corneliu Porumboiu for A fost sau n-a fost (12:08 East Of Bucharest). Note that the only real screenwriter of the group is Laverty, all the others are writer-directors.This category will again come down to a Volver/Das Leben der Anderen smack-down; unless the Academy wants to honour Loach's film here (and give the Best Screenwriter title to someone who actually is one). 

  • Will win: Pedro Almodóvar
  • Should win: Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck

 
EFA Best Cinematographer 2006
Nominees: Barry Ackroyd for The Wind That Shakes The Barley; José Luis Alcaine for Volver; Roman Osin for Pride & Prejudice; Timo Salminen for Laitakaupungin valot (Lights In The Dusk). Though the film came out about a year ago, Osin's lush, slightly Altmanesque cinematography on the period drama Pride & Prejudice is among the best work to have come out of Great-Britain in recent years. Though the Academy will probably want to honour Volver, Osin should be considered the real winner here.

  • Will win: José Luis Alcaine
  • Should win: Roman Osin

 
EFA Best Composer 2006
Nominees: Alberto Iglesias for Volver; Tuomas Kantelinen for Äideistä parhain (Mother of Mine); Dario Marianelli for Pride & Prejudice; Gabriel Yared & Stéphane Moucha for Das Leben Der Anderen (The Lives of Others). This category is very difficult to guess, so it will probably stay on the safe side and give the award to Volver. Das Leben der Anderen's score is a bit dusty, and Kantelinen's score was not heard/seen widely enough, and Marianelli's score has faded from memory for most voters since the film was released over a year ago, though that score was actually very good. 

  • Will win: Alberto Iglesias for Volver
  • Should win: Dario Marianelli for Pride & Prejudice

 

Some award winners have already announced:

EFA for Artistic Contribution 2006
Pierre Pell and Stéphane Rozenbaum for the Production Design of La science des rêves (Science of Sleep) from Michel Gondry

EFA Lifetime Achievement Award
Roman Polanski

EFA Critics Awards - Prix FIPRESCI

Les amants réguliers (Regular Lovers) from Phillipe Garrel

EFA Best Documentary 2006
Die grosse stille (Into Great Silence) from Philip Gröning

Besides the above prizes, awards will also be handed out for European Discovery 2006; EFA for Best Short Film - Prix UIP; EFA for European Achievement in World Cinema - Prix Screen International; and the EFA People's Choice Award. Just one more night and we will know who the winners are!

Related items:
>EFA Critics prize for Garrel's 'Les amants réguliers'; Production Design EFA for 'Science of Sleep'
>'Das Leben der Anderen' and 'Volver' top EFA 2006 nominations
>'Die grosse Stille' (Into Great Silence) wins the Best Documentary EFA
>
Nominations for the European Discovery Award hail from France, Poland, Hungary and Germany

 

 
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